By: Irshad Salim
NJ, USA
JAN 16 - Is the Canadian immigration system better or worse than it was 12
years ago, when the Liberals assumed power? Are immigration applications
being decided better or faster than before?
Some desis in Canada have these questions in mind as they get ready to vote
on January 23rd, some still not having decided as to who they
are going to vote for. It's confusing some say. Others think it is downright
simple. Not as complex as back in the subcontinent though, commented
another.
In terms of numbers, the Liberals are letting in fewer immigrants now than
when they assumed power in 1993. In 2004, they admitted 235,824 immigrants,
which is about 20,000 fewer than when they took charge. In the same period,
they drastically slashed family-based immigration from 112,679 per year to
62,246, while increasing economic migrants from 105,667 to 133,746.
The numbers suggest the Liberals have been kinder to refugees: in 2004, they
landed 32,686 refugees, compared to 30,629 in 1993. However, this is clearly
not the case. By implementing the Safe Third Country Agreement with the
United States, a huge percentage of refugees that would otherwise have
sought protection in Canada will now be stranded in the U.S. Refugee
landings in Canada are expected to drop by at least half.
In terms of service delivery, under the Liberals, the system has become more
centralized, making it rare that an applicant is able to sit face-to-face
with the person who is making the decision that could have an enormous
impact on them or a Canadian relative or business.
Is this a call for a Conservative vote? Absolutely not!Who knows what the
Conservatives would have done given the same opportunity and socio-economic
conditions? And besides, the Liberals did make a few minor improvements. As
for the Conservatives, they have not advanced any kind of real vision for
the immigration system. They simply declare, in their election platform
entitled “Stand Up For Canada,” that they will “stand up for a fair and
sensible immigration plan.” Not much to go on, huh?
The choice for Jan. 23 is a slow and ineffective Liberal system versus an
unknown future under Conservative stewardship. What a choice.
"Well we have made our choice. We are voting for the liberals, said Hemant.
So did Ifitkhar, a Bangladeshi immigrant from Sylhet and Mushtaq Awan from
Lahore, Pakistani Punjab's capital city.
I asked them why and they responded with a "Why not?" They felt more comfortable with the Liberals,
they said. Some
Indians, specially, the Christian Catholics from South India, Kolkata,
Karnataka, Tamilnadu, want
to vote for the Conservatives but they have not decided yet. They sounded
undecided.
In 2004, only eighteen (18) percent of the immigrants voted. But the South
Asian voters percentage was more. Having assimilated in the society and
adopted the Canadian culture somewhat by now, the percentage may go up this
time.
According to Elections Canada, the 2000
federal election saw a mere 25 per cent of potential youth votes. In total,
64 per cent of registered voters went to the ballots that year. Four years
later, in 2004, that number hit a historical low of 60.9 per cent. No election since
1867 had seen such voter apathy.
If the percentage of immigrant voters goes up, it could tilt the results in
favor of either party, I mean Liberals or Conservatives (Tories).
Typically, a higher percentage vote is a red herring for an incumbent
candidate, in this case it could mean a positive sign for him also.
Having said that, no one should ignore Canada's silent majority. The farmers
I mean - equivalent to the American Midwest, who put Bush into the White House
for the second term without a heartbeat. Same can happen in Canada too.
Conservatives are now widely seen as holding a significant lead in polls
across the country.
Remember the wind blows from the south to the north, specially in this part
of the world. So anything can happen except an upset victory for the NDP or
the Green Party.
Some say British Columbia poll results will actually matter. Why? Because,
the Conservatives promise $1 billion over 10 years
to help restructure a B.C. economy that can expect a major shift from
forestry to grassland ranching in the years to come. The Liberals’ B.C. team
vows only to “build substantially on a $100 million down-payment to
support mountain pine beetle eradication activities. In short, while the
national media continues to dwell on a crucial city called Vote-Rich
Ontario, it’s recognized that even
vote-poor B.C. has more than its share of seats up for grabs.
The man likely to be elected the new prime minister in a week's time,
Conservative leader Stephen Harper, said on Monday he wants to boost defense
spending enough for the world to take notice.
With just a week until next Monday's election, Harper's Conservatives are
enjoying a lead of eight to 13 percentage points in the polls over the
Liberals, who have been in power since 1993. That margin puts them on the
verge of winning a majority in Parliament.
The Liberals of Prime Minister Paul Martin have been hit hard by scandals,
an ill-starred campaign and voter fatigue.
But Conservative strategists are watching to see if their lead in the polls
will start eroding as it did in the 2004 campaign, when they were ahead by a
smaller margin and ended up losing to Martin, despite a corruption scandal
that weakened the Liberals.
"Well you never know. It could be another exit poll fiasco..the way it
happened in India. BJP was winning according to exit polls remember? But see
what happened in reality?", said one Indo-Canadian.
To be continued..
Part 1:
The Desi Vote Machine |