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All these plans of dividing Afghanistan and Pakistan
notwithstanding, historical, social, economic, political and
even security factors indicate that formation of Greater
Afghanistan is inevitable.
However, what the Afghans view as
greater
Afghanistan
is not very dissimilar to the vision of a great
Pakistan
to most Pakistanis.
Interestingly, all the forces aimed at
causing disintegration are releasing forces that would
hasten moves towards unification of
Pakistan
and
Afghanistan.
Pakistan’s
policy since its inception has been focused on maintaining a
situation that could help it avoid controversy over the
Durand Line. It has been trying to force a fusion of
communities along this line and a separation from those on
the other side of the line. It has been sensitive to their
being identified as Pakhtun as if by merely calling their
province Pakhtunistan or Pakhtunkhwa it would secede.
Even
though there are more Pakhtun in
Pakistan
than in
Afghanistan
and Pakistani Pakhtuns are better educated and more
affluent,
Pakistan
has always been nervous about its Pakhtun population. It has
allowed itself to be continually blackmailed by ethnic
zealots, not only in the NWFP but also in Sindh and
Balochistan.
The question arises, why is
Afghanistan
not wary of
Pakistan
claiming Pakhtun majority area to be included in
Pakistan.
There are reasons for it.
One,
Pakistan
calls itself an Islamic Republic but does not conduct itself
like one. Two, tribal bonds are brotherly and feudal bonds
are exploitery; feudal Punjab and Sindh are wary of tribal
Frontier and
Balochistan.
Three,
India did
succeed in sowing suspicion and discord between East and
West Pakistan and used it to invade and separate
East Pakistan. But what is
the answer?
Would
Pakistan
and
Afghanistan forever remain condemned to instability and seeking security
by dependence on outside forces that have not hesitated to
occupy their countries and devastate their peoples? Is it
not better to unite and form whatever the majority like to
call it - Greater Afghanistan or Great Pakistan?
For its
security,
Pakistan
has depended throughout its existence on major power
wielders. This dependence is getting so perilous that
Pakistan
has to sacrifice its raison d’être and Islamic identity to
maintain itself in favor with them and even court its
nemesis.
Cooperation with the
US during
the anti-Soviet war was justified in the name of Islam and
the
US kept
on feeding
Pakistan
because it was fighting its war.
In the post 9/11
environments,
Pakistan
has to fight the
US wars
for domination and colonization if it has to remain in
Washington’s
good books. It has to get approval from
Washington as
to what kind of Islam it can follow.
Pakistan
has to live under perpetual dictatorship under the pretext
of “assurance against possible Talibanisation of the
governance system”?
According to the same report the
U.S. will
accept “limited Islamization” in
Pakistan.
It is the
US
that would approve the teachings of Islam that it deems to
be ‘Islamic’ and reject those it sees to be ‘un-Islamic’. It
would be something to laugh about if it was not true. But it
is! And it is not funny!
It means
Pakistan’s
security and survival is conditional upon the pleasure of
Washington. If
it could please it, it will live; otherwise, there is no
guarantee of its existence.
Internally, except the
opportunist politicians, people from almost all segments of
the society are against the US sponsored rule, which keeps
the state unstable and its leaders on probation.
Pakistan’s
deepening involvement in the hoax US war on terrorism
against its own citizens further alienates its government
from the public. Externally, the arms gap with
India
is widening. Furthermore,
India’s
alliance with
Israel
makes the situation even worse for
Pakistan.
As early as October 1995, Sandy Gordon predicted that in the
21st century,
India
is poised to emerge... as a far more important and
influential power in the
Indian Ocean region, and
even globally, than it was in the latter part of the 20th.
Some of the constraining factors in
India’s
rise to power, particularly domestic and regional South
Asian instability, are still present and will continue to
snap at
India’s
heels for some years to come. But the end of the Cold War
has also enabled
India
to jettison some of the more burdensome foreign and economic
policies that had constrained it in the past.... [whereas]
Pakistan,
which has long been
India’s
only serious competitor in
South Asia, has lost out
seriously as a result of the end of the Cold War. While
India
suffers from internal instability,
Pakistan’s
problems are potentially far more serious.’”
The incidents of 9/11 in particular have changed the view
that Gordon may be overstating
India’s
ability to take advantage of the potential benefits to it of
the Cold War’s end. Today,
Pakistan’s
diplomatic position both on the Afghan and
Kashmir front is very weak
in the sense that no one is ready to listen to its point of
view. Just as the world is silent over
Israel’s
nuclear and chemical programs and issuing warnings and
deadlines to
Iran,
Pakistan
pleas for addressing the ever-worsening human rights
situation in
Kashmir are falling on deaf
ear. On top of it, enormous problems of rural poverty,
disease, environmental degradation, and overpopulation
remain largely un-addressed.
As a reward for Musharraf’s services,
Washington’s decision to
unclog the aid pipeline to
Pakistan,
however, scarcely begins to address
Pakistan’s
security dilemma. After all,
Pakistan
is still not considered fit for F-b and other major military
sales. Furthermore, beyond
Islamabad’ s present close
relations with
Washington, lies the
greater security problem for
Pakistan:
the gradual drying up of any promising alliance prospects to
serve
Pakistan’s
requirement for great-power insurance against joint
Indo-Israeli military might. Dream of an “Islamic bloc”
solidly aligned behind
Pakistan
has failed utterly to materialize; and there are signs of
etiolation as well in the fidelity to
Pakistan
even of
China.
China’s record from the Gulf War I to war on Serbia,
Afghanistan and then Iraq shows that if the going gets really
rough, it will not care much for the consistency of support
from Pakistan over the past forty years. In recent years,
Beijing has retreated to a
conspicuously neutral position on Kashmir, unquestionably an
important litmus test of friendship from
Islamabad’s point of view,
and
China’s
steadily expanding rapprochement with
India, as
Sandy Gordon has observed, “has provided
India
with a significant peace dividend in the context of its
competition with
Pakistan.”
On the Afghan front,
Pakistan
has completely lost the trust of the public in the NWFP and
Balochistan, not to speak of the tribal areas. The
geopolitical situation in
Afghanistan
on the other hand is, by any standard, extremely unstable.
US and its allies have a very large stake in the stability
of Karzai’s puppet regime. Pakistan, at least as much as
any of the other external contenders, considers
Afghanistan’s
stability and its leaders’ pro-Pakistan orientation to be
matters of the most vital state interest. However, other
than using its armed forces on the directions from
Washington,
Pakistan
is totally marginalized at the moment.
The viable option for addressing
Pakistan’s
vulnerable political geography and its
military-demographic-economic weakness relative to
India
lies in
Pakistan’s
union with
Afghanistan.
Irrespective of the present situation in which both
Pakistan
and
Afghanistan
are fully or partially occupied by the
US,
Pakistan
and
Afghanistan
may apply the central argument of
Huntington’s
thesis, the “kin-country rallying” for mobilizing of
interstate support systems or alliances on religious or
civilizational grounds, on the first available opportunity.
In this regard,
Pakistan’s
past (the secession of Muslim East Bengal) and its present
(in regard to
Afghanistan,
for instance) clearly suggest that merely relying on a
trans-state Islamic bond has very definite limits. Every
state has its own policies and every state finds itself at
odds not only with numerous groups within, but also with
other states with which it is allied. Therefore, a symbolic
Pak-Afghan Union would not work. It has to be a merger of
these states into one greater
Afghanistan
within its former frontiers that include all the territory
presently within
Pakistan
borders.
An obvious example that paves the way for the confederation
with
Afghanistan
is February 2, 2002 editorial of The Friday Times,
where it writes:
“the super-generals... may have been thinking of some such
strategic notion when he [Musharraf] recently said that
Pakistan
had to be friends with the Taliban because they were
comprised of ethnic Pakhtuns who formed the main ethnic
community of our own NWFP that borders
Afghanistan.
This leads us to postulate the super-generals’ strategic
thinking that a strong Pakhtun state in
Afghanistan
would suit
Pakistan
immeasurably more than a weak Pakhtun or non-Pakhtun state.
Is that right? No, it isn’t... .a weak non-Pakhtun dominated
state in
Afghanistan
has never posed any threat to
Pakistan
because it has neither had any ideological bearings or
religious extra-national ambitions nor any ethnic or
sub-nationalist stirrings. On the other hand, whenever there
has been a strong Pakhtun dominated state in Afghanistan,
its government has been compelled by the logic of its own
composition to pander to ethnic nationalism by supporting
Pakhtun separatism (refusal to accept the Durand Line) or
try and export religious fundamentalism (Talibanism) to the
NWFP and Balochistan... This would suggest that a strong
Taliban state in
Afghanistan,
which combines the worst elements of ethnic Pakhtun
nationalism and religious exclusivism, would eventually pose
a threat to the territorial integrity and political
solidarity of multi-ethnic, multi-sectarian, democratic
Pakistan.”
Such bigoted views are completely at odds with the reality
on the ground and founding concepts of
Pakistan.
There is no need to shed light on the obvious anti-
Pakistan
feelings in the hearts of Persian speaking Afghans. Attitude
and policies of pro-Indian
Northern Alliance and its
leaders are good examples for those who understand.
With
regard to Pakhtuns and NWFP, it is worth quoting what Ch.
Rahmat Ali - the man who formulated the name and concept of
Pakistan, said about ‘NWFP’ and the Pakhtoon people in his
book “Pakistan: The Fatherland of Pak Nation” 1940:
North West
Frontier
Province
- is semantically non-descript and socially wrongful. It is
non-descript because it merely indicates their geographical
situation as a province of old ‘British
India’ [which no longer exists]. It is wrongful
because it suppresses the social entity of these people. In
fact, it suppresses that entity so completely that when
composing the name ‘Pakistan’
for our homelands, I had to call the
North West
Frontier
Province the
Afghan
Province.
Essentially what Rahmat All is saying is that the NWFP is a
gross distortion because it is the British term for the
North Western region of the Indian empire that no longer
exists. Also, NWFP is not a Frontier as far as the
indigenous population, the Pakhtuns, are concerned. Rahmat
All wrote, “It must be remembered that the Pathans are a
great, gifted, and Pan-Islamic people. This is borne out by
history which records that they were the first to accept
Islam and lay the foundations of its twelve- century rule in
India; that they were the last to stop the fight against the
British and the first to resume that fight on the Afghan and
Baloch frontiers; and that they are the people one of whom,
the writer, however unworthy, was blessed by Allah to create
the Ideal of Pakistan itself and start the fight for the
realization of that Ideal - the Ideal which so inspired all
Muslims as to make them join the fight and establish this
Fatherland which is the home and heritage of all Paks”.
Finally, in his book, Ch. Rahmat Ali advocates a family
re-union of our Asian and Indian homelands i.e.
Pakistan,
Afghanistan
and
Central Asia.
The views
expressed by people associated with domestic secular-liberal
movement and people advocating South Asian regional
cooperation are indirectly paving the way for this reunion.
The UN sanctions on
Afghanistan,
western attitude towards the Taliban and
Pakistan,
and now the seemingly indefinite occupation of
Afghanistan,
are advertised as measures to prevent the disintegration of
Pakistan
and
Afghanistan
even though that is their objective. But it may lead to
their Union and create enthusiasm for further federation
with the neighboring and ancestral Muslim homelands of
Central Asia,
Iran,
etc.
Commenting on the issue of pan-Islamic federation,
Robert G Wirsing writes:
“This idea has gestated in Pakistani minds that both its
vulnerable political geography and its
military-demographic-economic weakness relative to
India
could be compensated for, at least to an extent, by
expanding and deepening its ties to the many coreligionist
States of the Islamic world... [However] the pan-Islamic
option, for all its bluster and for all its promise, is for
most practical purposes (and certainly for
Pakistan's
basic security requirements) a fiction.”
It might appear that under the present circumstances,
Pakistan is coming up short of reliable Islamic allies.
However, the attitude of the ‘liberal’ elite in Pakistan,
and policies and actions of the western nations suggest that
the same forces are indirectly leading to developing a
mindset among Pakistanis and Afghans that they are the same
people facing common problems and sharing a common destiny
that reinforces the trans-state Islamic bonds between them.
Besides the undeniable civilizational, political and
security need for Pakistan’s reunion with Afghanistan, there
is plenty of evidence that the rallying of Muslims to
pan-Islamic causes has become a matter of some significance
in the South Asian environment, particularly in a situation
where the western powers are bent upon prematurely turning
India into super power of the 2l century.
According to a report by Jyoti Malhotra, the British are now
talking of a partnership of equals’ between Britain and
India in the new century.
To directly challenge the Indian and western efforts,
Pakistan would be well advised to move towards substantive
initiatives such as the notion of a Community of Power to be
evolved between Iran and Pakistan to begin with and
gradually fanning out into Afghanistan and other Muslim
states to form the eastern flank to the heart of Islam as it
had been, before it was broken up through the Mongol
invasions beginning in 1221; then through infighting by the
Afghans, Moghuls and Safavids; and finally by the colonial
legacy of the McMahon, Durand and Goldsmith Borders.
Greater
Afghanistan would play a pivotal role in the whole set up.
(End)
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