Last Updated:
24-Jun-2007 09:01:00 PM
PST
SEPT 24 -
Hong Kong based Asia Times Online (ATOL)
says it has obtained exclusive
information which "shows" that Osama Bin Laden recently
traveled from the South Waziristan tribal area in Pakistan to
somewhere in the eastern Afghan provinces of Kunar and Nooristan, or
possibly Bajour, a small tribal agency in the Federally Administered
Tribal Area of Pakistan (FATA). FATA is situated in the northwest of
Pakistan and is part of its North West Frontier Province (NWFP). [http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/HI14Df03.html]
According to a witness, says ATOL, Bin Laden traveled in a
double-cabin truck with a few armed guards. Apparently, this is how
he now prefers to move around, reported Asia Times online
journal.

At the same time, a close aide responsible for Bin Laden's logistics
and media relations told ATOL that Bin Laden had
recovered from serious kidney-related ailments.
But, French secret service officials have said Bin Laden recently
died of typhoid in a remote area of Pakistan, quoting Saudi
intelligence reports. According to French newspaper L'Est Republicain,
the French secret service have informed President Chirac that Saudi Arabia is trying
to confirm intelligence reports that Osama bin Laden is dead.
The
newspaper quoted the leaked confidential report of the secret
service stating "According to a reliable
source, Saudi security services are now convinced that Osama bin
Laden is dead."
"Information gathered by the Saudis indicates that the head of
al-Qaeda was a victim while he was in Pakistan on Aug. 23, 2006, of
a very serious case of typhoid, which led to a partial paralysis of
his internal organs," the newspaper added.
Saudi officials were awaiting further confirmation,
particularly the exact place of Bin Laden's burial, before
announcing his death, the leaked report said.
CNN on Saturday quoted a Saudi intelligence official saying that
the al Qaeda leader is suffering from a waterborne illness. There
have been credible reports that the most wanted man in the world is
ill, but there is no intelligence indicating he is dead, the source
said.
Timeline shows George Bush having called Gen. Musharraf the same day
the French newspaper says Bin Laden died - Aug 23. Renegade Baloch leader,
Bugti, suspected of having sought help from Al-Qaeda, was killed on
or about August 26. The US condoned his "targeted killing" by Pak
Special Services Group commandos, stating Bugti was involved in "terrorist acts"
having supported the Balochistan
Liberation Army (BLA) which was declared a terrorist group by UK
some time ago.
The significance of all these events is aplenty, say some Pakistan
observers.
A Western diplomat based in Riyadh said, “Even if Saudi Arabia had
information (of Osama's death), they’d pass it on to the US, not France.
Saudi and US intelligence agencies are close - they cooperate
regularly. "It is possible the U.S. is aware of the
"death" or Bin Laden's "illness", but are waiting for confirmation before announcing it," said
one Pakistan news watcher.
Gen. Musharraf said in a "60 Minutes" interview, to be aired today,
that former U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage told the
director of Pakistani intelligence in the wake of the 9/11 attacks
that Pakistan would be bombed "back to the Stone Age" if its
government did not cooperate with U.S. forces in Afghanistan.
Musharraf's comments came a day after U.S. President
George W. Bush said that U.S. forces will "absolutely" be sent into
Pakistan to capture or kill al Qaeda leaders if they have actionable
intelligence. Musharraf insisted that Pakistani troops are capable
of catching Osama bin Laden and his entourage on their own. "While
both sides are deliberately sparring over the issue of Pakistan's
territorial sovereignty in the public realm, preparations appear to
be under way for the United States to claim the capture or killing
of another high-value al Qaeda target in the near future," reported
Stratfor on Sept 22.
Stratfor, is a leading security consulting
intelligence agency, offers intelligence and strategic forecasting
services on world events, terrorist attacks, etc. to help its
clients prepare for uncertainties and take action for maximizing
results, says their website.
According to Stratfor, "for Bush, the November congressional
elections are rapidly approaching, and his administration is facing
mounting criticism over the dragging U.S.-jihadist war. If Bush can
claim another capture or killing of a high-value al Qaeda target, he
might boost himself in the polls to help ensure that Republicans
will maintain their hold over the House and Senate."
Stratfor added, "the countdown to U.S. midterm elections has begun,
and the time for the Americans to strike is near. Musharraf feels he
can't stall Washington any longer, so he is falling back to a
defensive position and hoping he can weather the storm. If this were
not the case, he would never have said what he did. After all, he
has kept quiet about Armitage's threat for five years. To bring it
up now looks like a sign of desperation."
Some analysts think stage is being set by the U.S. to "enter"
Pakistan - it's the backyard of Iran after all. It will be easier to
take out Iran's nuclear assets and reduce its increasing clout in
the region. Bugti's removal from the scene and Bush's insistence
that U.S. forces will "absolutely" be sent into Pakistan to capture
or kill Bin Laden if they have actionable intelligence, are
some of the significant moves in that direction.
"The Republicans need more fuel in the fire to guarantee another
poll success. Remember the "Bin Laden tape" that helped Bush win the
2004 elections?, " said one observer.
On January 18, 2003, President Gen Pervez Musharraf warned
of an "impending danger" that Pakistan will become a target of war
for "Western forces" after the Iraq crisis. "We will have to work on
our own to stave off the danger. Nobody will come to our rescue, not
even the Islamic world. We will have to depend on our muscle."
[Press Trust of India, 1/19/03, Financial Times, 2/8/03]
Pointing to "a number of recent 'background briefings' and 'leaks'"
from the US government, "Pakistani officials fear the Bush
administration is planning to change its tune dramatically once the
war against Iraq is out of the way." [Financial Times, 2/8/03]
"In the context of all this, and given the timing of these
events, including Pentagon's "new map" floated on the web
recently, Pakistan is again in the eye of another storm," commented Khurram Habib, a New Jersey
based Pakistani-American who keenly watches Pakistan affairs. |