The Latest
Coup and
Musharraf's "General" Rule
NEW
JERSEY, OCT 14 - A coup plot against President General Pervez
Musharraf was recently uncovered leading to the arrest of
several middle-ranking Pakistani Air Force officers,
including the son of a serving brigadier in the army.
All of the 40 arrested are Islamists, contacts in
Rawalpindi, where the Pakistan military headquarter is based, divulged to Asia
Times online (ATOL).
The coup plot news has broken as Security and intelligence
agencies arrested eight people allegedly involved in the Ayub Park blast and for planting anti-tank rockets at
different locations in Islamabad last week.
A mobile phone connected to one of the recovered rockets had
led to the arrests, officials said, revealing that those
arrested had links with Al Qaeda and Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LJ)
and had visited Afghanistan many times.
Law enforcers have also seized a huge cache of ammunition
from various locations. The Russian 107mm anti-tank rockets
found in Islamabad last week had been used by the Taliban
against the International Security Assistant Force (ISAF) in
the past, said the official.
The coup plan and the discovered rockets in Islamabad as
well as the park blast - are all related, said a source to
DesPardes.com.
According to reports, the coup plan was discovered through
the naivety of an air force officer whose cell phone was
wired to to activate the high-tech rocket aimed at the
president's residence in Rawalpindi. The rocket was
recovered, and its activating mechanism revealed the
officer's telephone number. His arrest led to other arrests.
Other rockets were then recovered from various high security
zones, including the headquarters of the Inter-Services
Intelligence (ISI) in Islamabad.
More arrests can be expected, both military and civilian,
wrote Saleem Shahzad in his article in ATOL.
Three assassination attempts have been made on Musharraf
since he took power in a bloodless coup in 1999, and in all
attempts there was a connection with the armed forces,
especially the air force. However, this time it appears that
beyond the attack on the president, a coup against his
administration was also planned, according to the article.
The coup plot takes place amid major developments. While in
the US, Gen Musharraf, in a meeting with President George W
Bush, drew world attention to his belief that the real
threat were the Taliban in Afghanistan, and not al-Qaeda.
Musharraf also claimed that former ISI officials were
supporting the Taliban and, according to ATOL, he sent
instructions to the director general of the ISI to check on
top officials, including retired Lieutenant General Hamid
Gul, Gen Durrani and retired Colonel Ameer Sultan (known as
Colonel Imam). Gul and Durrani are former director generals
of the ISI and Ameer is considered as the founding father of
the Taliban movement. He was Pakistan's consul-general in
Herat in western Afghanistan when the Taliban emerged in the
mid-1990s.
The outspoken pro-Islamist former ISI chief General Hamid
Gul reacted strongly to Musharraf's statement, saying:
“Musharraf is a distinct type of team captain who is scoring
goals against his own team.”General Asad Durrani, another
former spy master, found the statement "highly speculative"
and against the interests of Pakistan.
Musharraf, reportedly, also instructed that a list be
compiled of all retired officers who had been involved in
any significant intelligence operations and who were
suspected of still being sympathetic towards the Taliban.
"This is just one glimpse of upcoming events as a result of
Musharraf's pro-American policies, which are in contrast to
the thinking pattern of Pakistan's state institutions," said
retired squadron leader Khalid Khawaja, a former ISI
official who went to Afghanistan after his forced retirement
and fought alongside Osama bin Laden against Soviet Russia
in the 1980s. (Khawaja features on Musharraf's list
mentioned above.)
"Musharraf always blamed the madrassas [Islamic
seminaries] for extremism, but all plots against him or his
government go back to the armed forces. But he still does
not realize why this happens," Khawaja maintained.
"He says retired ISI officials are involved in supporting
the Taliban. I say there is no difference between retired
and serving ones. All of them have the same approach,
mindset and conviction. The retired ones act freely, while
the serving ones have some job constraints, but both think
in the same way. The present move of a coup against
Musharraf is the writing on the wall that if he continues
with pro-American policies, he will continue to face
problems like that," Khawaja said.
Khawaja said that whatever officials did during their
service in the ISI, it was on state instructions, and if the
state tried to punish these same officials, the result would
be the type of events that are happening now.
It is all too apparent that Pakistan's head and tail are
moving in opposite directions: while Musharraf is fully
behind the "war on terror", the strategic institutions are
reluctant to follow Islamabad's instructions.
This is not something new, but over the years Musharraf and
hardliners within the army have been able to live with one
another. Had a hardline ruler been in Musharraf's place,
Western countries would have tightened the noose around
Pakistan and its security institutions would not have been
able to manipulate their support of the Taliban. Because of
Musharraf, Western countries are not prepared to be tough on
Pakistan, which allows the hardliners to continue their
activities.
Musharraf is acutely aware of the undercurrents in the army,
which historically draws its inspiration from Islam, and
more recently from the attacks on the US of September 11,
2001, when anti-US sentiment also took root. Musharraf
exploited this by convincing the West of his usefulness in
keeping the army - "full of extremism" - under control,
something that a democratically elected government could not
do, he argued.
This cozy arrangement, or uneasy truce, between Musharraf
and hard-line Islamists in the ranks is breaking down as the
US is demanding that Musharraf do something about the
resurgent Taliban. He has responded, as outlined above, by
cracking down on Taliban supporters and sympathizers. These
people, both in uniform and out, have in turn given their
response: they are not prepared to throw away all the gains
that have been made in Afghanistan.
Given that Musharraf may be running out of political
options, vis-a-vis the "extremists", he and his team is
reaching out to the "moderates" - particularly Benazir
Bhutto, the exiled leader of the liberal, pro-Western
Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) who still has the biggest vote bank.
The US and
the West have been nudging him (the General) to mend fences
with Bhutto.
During his recent visit to the US, he reportedly assured
them that he would. And with 2007 poll drums starting to beat now, Musharraf's team has begun to put their ducks in
a row.
Just a few days prior to his book launch, close confidants
of Musharraf and a senior spymaster revived contacts with Benazir. The News International newspaper reported the Dubai
contact as the first ever face-to-face meeting between a
Musharraf lieutenant and the two-time former prime minister.
Interestingly, last week, a court released Bhutto's deputy
and former parliamentary speaker, Yousaf Raza Gilani, on
bail. Gilani is facing a ten-year prison term for abuse of
power and corruption.
Analysts find this government move too obvious to ignore,
especially when a similar bail plea for the release of
deposed prime minister Nawaz Sharif’s deputy, Javed Hashmi,
was rejected. Hashmi, who succeeded Sharif as head of the
moderate Pakistan Muslim League, was jailed in 2003 for
criticizing the military’s intervention in politics and
charged with "treason".
The Musharraf-Bhutto contact and the release of Gilani has
also caused anxiety among the ranks of the Pakistan Muslim
League (Nawaz), PML (N), led by Sharif.
Bhutto and Sharif are the country's two top opposition
politicians, and it is clear that Musharraf is courting one
at the expense of the other, hoping to divide and conquer.
Though Bhutto and Sharif could possibly catch up on a few
things when they meet in London later this month, the hopes
for a grand alliance (also involving other opposition
parties) against Musharraf have all but evaporated.
Political observers once believed that the violent death of
Baloch tribal leader Nawab Akbar Bugti at the hands of
Pakistani security forces would unite the fractured
opposition parties in pursuit of shared objectives. But that
appears unlikely to happen, says ISN Security Watch in their
latest article on Pakistan affairs.
According to ISN, the military government thwarted those prospects in a
timely manner by introducing amendments to the Islamic laws
- Hudood ordnance. The controversial amendment introduced in
parliament was designed to bitterly divide the opposition as
Bhutto's PPP favored the move, while the MMA threatened to
resign from the assemblies if it became a law in its
original form.
Meanwhile, seven retired senior army officers joined 11
eminent civilians in July to address a letter to General
Musharraf, asking him, among other things, to quit one of
the two offices. It was a bold move, as some of them had
held important assignments in Musharraf’s military
government.
Such a move would not have taken place at all if things were
not "conducive", said one Pakistan observer to
DesPardes.com.
"Musharraf and Benazir have worked out a deal ahead of next
year’s general elections and this arrangement will help the
Pakistan People’s Party Parliamentarians (PPPP) chairperson
return to Pakistan without any fear of arrest or
state-sponsored harassment and intimidation, reported Daily
Times today.
According to insiders, says the newspaper, Gen Musharraf has
agreed to provide PPPP with an even playing field in next
year’s electoral contest to the extent that Benazir Bhutto
may “vigorously” canvass for her candidates.
Sources said that while the general has previously ruled out
the possibility of allowing Benazir Bhutto to contest the
elections, he has now given his consent to “mediators” for
her return to Pakistan by June next year.
Insiders said the
General was now contemplating even allowing her to contest
the elections.
A senior minister belonging to PPP (Patriots) has been
tasked by Gen Musharraf to oversee a “patch-up” between him
and the PPP.
"The ensuing deal could be Musharraf as President, Benazir
as Prime Minister - post 2007 elections!" said a
Pakistani-American with links to Islamabad. |