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Year of the Pig

BY IRSHAD SALIM

 

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NEW JERSEY, JUN 16 - A constellation of senior US officials are in Islamabad to meet the General, besides senior government functionaries, opposition leaders and civil society members.

Richard Boucher, the U.S. assistant secretary of state for South and Central Asian affairs arrived in Islamabad Tuesday and has met government officials including politicians from both sides of the political divide and the Chief Elections Commissioner.

Mr Boucher was joined Friday by both Deputy Secretary of State John Negroponte, who is next to Condi Rice in position, and Adm. William Fallon, commander of the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) - the outfit managing the campaign in Afghanistan, Iraq and Africa against Alqaeda, Taliban and terrorism.

Negroponte, who is former US intelligence czar, plans to hold talks with President Musharraf Saturday. Reports said he will relay Washington's interest in having him remain at the helm, but at the same time will prod him to reach an accommodation with his opponents.

A Pakistani government official insisted the timing was a coincidence and that all three visits were of a "routine nature." The official asked for anonymity because she was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter, reported AP.

As if three was not enough, Retired Gen. John Abizaid, former chief of U.S. Central Command, also arrived in Islamabad Friday, Stratfor has reported citing a Pakistani military official. Abizaid is also likely to meet with President Gen. Pervez Musharraf, the official said.

The flurry of visits comes as senior US officials in Washington said Friday that General Musharraf must keep the coming elections fair, while indicating US can accept his holding onto his dual role as president and army chief, reported AP.

Richard Boucher, interviewed by several Pakistani television channels Friday, echoed similar official line.

He told the TV channels that "it's time for Pakistan to move back to democratic elections and civilian rule." But he added "the issue of a free and fair election is much more fundamental" than how Gen. Musharraf deals with the issue of his occupying both the presidency and the powerful army leadership."

He also alluded to US stance in seeing Gen Musharraf remain in charge of the country's affairs and continue being the army chief.

"That particular question needs to be answered but I think we have a bit of patience in seeing it answered at whatever is the appropriate time," Mr. Boucher said, according to excerpts of the interviews released by the U.S. Embassy in Pakistan.

Gen Musharraf has repeatedly said he would doff off the uniform but at an "appropriate time". It seems both the US and Musharraf know better what that appropriate time is or would be.

Critics have been calling him to give up his military post and seek another presidential term only after year-end parliamentary elections in which opposition parties hope to make gains.

However, President Bush has made clear that securing Pakistan's (read Pak military's)  cooperation against al Qaeda and the Taliban is a more pressing concern for US interests than Pakistani nation's interests.

However, according to reports, the U.S. has become sensitive now to Pakistani nation's reactions. It is looking to ensure "continuity in policy without the continuity of an individual, while at the same time, a democratic process that can proceed."

While the US needs assurances from the military that there will be continuity in policy, it wants to buy insurance by facilitating the creation of a broad based understanding between the moderates, liberals, the military and the establishment albeit Turkish, Algerian models.

Musharraf's incumbency, his most recent failings and the rumblings within the country as well as military hierarchy's stealthy uneasiness have tipped the balance in favor of the US seeking a quick business-like tactical adjustment in its holistic war against terrorism and rise of Islamism.

Their call for free, fair and transparent elections including return of Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif, is a significant move. By siding with peoples sentiments, they want to close the credibility gap.

In other words, the U.S. can wean itself off of Musharraf without fear that the U.S.-Pakistani alliance is at risk, and will likely have some kind of election to point to, that blesses the result.

This is where Benazir pops up in the equation also.

Apparently having anticipated such developments, she has laid low, maintaining an ambivalent silence for some time now, and has in fact come closer to the military establishment's future political dispositions, with US persuasion of course.

A BB-Musharraf-military-US arrangement appears very possible - it serves major players' purposes and sends Islamists scurrying back into their foxholes, concurs one Pakistani observer.

PS: It's the Year of the Pig (Boar) too - as per Chinese Zodiac. In Chinese culture, the boar or the pig is associated with fertility and virility. To bear children in the year of the pig or boar is considered to be very fortunate, for they will be happy and honest. If polls are held this year it will auger well for all.


Attributes of a pig or boar:
(from Wikipedia)

The Pig type is usually an honest, straightforward and patient person. They are a modest, shy character who prefers to work quietly behind the scenes. When others despair, they are often there to offer support. This type of person is reserved with those they do not know too well, but as time passes and they gain confidence, those around them may discover a lively and warm-hearted person behind that mask of aloofness. Despite those born in the year of pig having a wide circle of friends and acquaintances, they have few close friends who understand them and share their inner thoughts and feelings. It is easy to put trust in pig type; they won't let you down and will never even attempt to do so. Such people simply want to do everything right according to social norms.

It is important to remember that these people are not vengeful creatures. If someone tries to take advantage of them, the pig type tend to withdraw to reflect on the problem and protect themselves. All they need in such situations is a little time to find a constructive way to respond. The people of the pig type are conservative creatures of habit. They dislike being made to travel too far from familiar surroundings, unless it is a trip to the countryside. They love nature and are never happier than when they are out somewhere, far from the city.

There is a tolerant and peaceful side to their character. Such people are never afraid to allow others their freedom of expression; they do not want to cause arguments and if there is any way to avoid arguing, they will probably take this option. They are not weak, however, and if the situation forces them to fight these people will rise to the occasion, whether it is to defend themselves or those close to them.


Ruling hours: 9pm to 11pm
Season and Month: Autumn (November)
Gemstone: Topaz
Color: Dark Blue
Polarity: Yin
Roughly equivalent western sign: Scorpio

 

Also read:

"Why Bhutto and the Elites Hate Musharraf"
Gen. Musharraf's Survival Plan
The Meltdown and the Future Military Leadership
The Elephant in the Room
Pakistan's "Military Incorporated"
'Why Most Moderate Pakistanis Now Dislike America'
Benazir Flaps Her Wings and Beyond
Not Again We Hope!
Avenging Mullah Dadullah's Death
Has the Countdown Begun?
Benazir Bhutto - stuck between the two
The Big Picture and its Pixels
Benazir-Musharraf pact a done deal!
US lawmakers favor return of Pakistan's exiled leaders

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