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Musharraf Meets Benazir In Search of "Grand Alliance"

BY IRSHAD SALIM

 

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NEW JERSEY, JULY 27 - Amid turmoil sparked by the Lal Masjid crisis, suicide attacks, and US threat to launch direct "strikes inside Pakistan", President Gen Musharraf air-dashed to Abu Dhabi today and met former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto, apparently to clinch a deal to ensure his re-election and her return home from self-exile.

While officials close to Musharraf informally told the media in Islamabad that the two would be meeting at the instance of a third country, believed to be United States, Benazir Bhutto cancelled a parliamentary party meeting of her Pakistan Peoples' Party (PPP) in London and reached Abdu Dhabi today.

Significantly, Benazir was accompanied by her close aide former Director General of  Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) Rehman Malik, while Gen Musharraf's delegation included ISI Chief Gen Kiani.

According to sources privy to the meeting, the almost "dead" deal has been resurrected. Musharraf is seeking Benazir's help to stay on as president after retiring from the military.

Bhutto reportedly said she will get back to him on the issues discussed.

According to news reports, this was their second meeting and the two were in regular touch over telephone. The two met for almost two hours with their delegations as well as one-on-one.

The meeting comes after Benazir's recent remarks that her party would lose votes in the polls due to be held later this year if she aligned with the General in the aftermath of the recent supreme court judgment reinstating suspended Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry.

The meeting also took place against the backdrop of attempts by militant students today to re-occupy the Lal Masjid which saw bloody military assault earlier this month that killed scores of people. Its capture resulted in a spate of suicide bomb attacks mostly in tribal areas targeting security forces.

Today, capital Islamabad saw its second suicide bombing - in less than two weeks since the first one on July 17. Latest count of people killed in the latest suicide bombing is 15 with more than 70 injured, some of them critically.

Earlier, on July 17, at a lawyer's rally which was being held to welcome the suspended Chief Justice, the capital saw its first suicide attack in which 17 people were killed and more than 40 were injured. It is believed that the PPP camp at the rally was the target because of Benazir's candid support of Musharraf's Lal Masjid military operation that left more than 102 dead, with many still remaining unaccounted for.

AAJ TV has reported that PML (Nawaz) President Shahbaz Sharif has declined to meet the General who is to visit Jeddah after his UAE trip as part of his two-day flying visit to the Middle East. The official story given out is that he will exchange views with the leadership of Saudi Arabia and UAE on issues of terrorism and extremism in the region.

Shahbaz has been living in Jeddah as part of a 10-year exile deal which was signed in 2000 between the Kingdom and Musharraf's government.

It is said that with US war drums beating ever faster, Gen Musharraf has reportedly become nervous. If troops going into the mosque could inflame the tribal areas, imagine the reaction foreign troops in the tribal areas could provoke, said one Pakistani-American.

The United States recently upped the ante on war on terrorism by contemplating  "strikes inside Pakistan" to get ride of "Al Qaeda and Taliban safe havens". Unconfirmed reports say several hundred Western special forces are already operating in the tribal region, without Pakistan's prior knowledge and or permission.

A contact in Rawalpindi familiar with goings-on in the capital's twin city, which is home to the military's top brass, told Asia Times Online (ATOL) on condition of anonymity of President Musharraf's "desperate efforts" to speak to Washington at the highest level and request some breathing space.

According to ATOL's contact, Washington insisted that Islamabad press on relentlessly by military means against Taliban and al-Qaeda assets in Pakistan, saying that NATO would be supportive. Apparently, a personal request by Musharraf to speak to US President George W Bush about being given time for matters to cool off was declined, wrote Syed Saleem Shahzad,  ATOL's Islamabad Bureau Chief in his latest news analysis.

In effect, said Shahzad, Washington is brushing aside Musharraf's concerns over an extremist backlash of momentous proportions should foreign forces join in the fray in the tribal areas, let alone threaten the General's hold on power.

While Washington wants to take action in Pakistan, it does not want the country to turn into a jihadist playing field, so it is preparing for the consequences, the article has observed. This includes the encouragement of liberal democratic forces to step into any power vacuum should Musharraf be forced out or choose to walk into the sunset. "Quick regime changes have in the past worked to take the steam out of potentially disastrous backlashes, and given the military time to regroup."

An informed observer told DesPardes.com that, "Musharraf and the establishment is attempting to form a "grand alliance" of liberal and moderate forces to face the deteriorating situation in the country".

The United States however wants Gen Musharraf to remain in the loop, but Stratfor has said in its latest news analysis published today, that some corps commanders and intelligence heads have asked him to step down.

"Stepping down does not necessarily mean that Musharraf would leave the political scene altogether. Rather he likely will be forced to relinquish the post of army chief and try to stay on as a civilian president while sharing powers with a coalition government led by Benazir  following parliamentary elections, Stratfor has speculated.

At this stage it is unclear whether Musharraf will be successful in his efforts to reach a compromise -- as these efforts could be too little and too late, the analysis concluded.

Given United States' domestic pre-election dynamics, leaders from both sides of the political divide have taken "hawkish" stances based on latest intel on terrorism vis-a-vis Gen Musharraf's role as the key ally.

The US have been told not once but many a time by our own political personalities that the General "cannot be trusted". It seems the US have decided to take up the advice seriously in its "national security interests".
 
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